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Protective service

Detectives and criminal investigators

Typically requires High school diploma or equivalent

What is this page & how do I use it?

This is a research report for one career — the kind an analyst would write for a stock. The rating at the top is the neutral baseline (same for everyone); below it come the cases for and against, how the last official forecast for this career actually aged, and what the education path costs and pays.

How to use it: read the bulls-vs-bears case, then hit Score this career to weigh it against your other options with your own interests factored in.

CareerStar rating
RiskyMedium uncertainty
top 44% of all 730 careers

Analyst take: Decent prospects — -0.7% projected growth, low AI exposure (32/100).

44
/ 100
low riskhigh
top row = high reward

Moat (borrowed from investing — the water that defends a castle): how shielded this career is from AI. Narrow = some shelter, but AI can reach a real share of its tasks.

The small grid is a style box (borrowed from Morningstar’s fund reports): the blue square places this career on reward (top row = high) versus risk (left column = low), against all 730 careers. Medium uncertainty means the score leans partly on forward-looking bets like AI exposure, so treat the exact number loosely.

🐂 Bulls say
  • +High pay — above 83% of careers ($93,580).
  • +Low AI exposure — resilient (32% of tasks exposed).
🐻 Bears say
  • Projected to shrink (-0.7%).
📜 Reality check — how the last forecast for this career fared

In 2014, the U.S. government projected -1.2% growth for this career by 2024. What actually happened: +1%. The forecast held up well — a reminder that every number on this page is an estimate, and this is how the last one aged. Full back-test →

Was this rating fair?
Projected growth
-0.7%
Median pay
$93,580
AI exposure
32/100
share of tasks exposed to AI — not job loss

Education & ROI — how to get here

Real outcomes for the college majors that feed this occupation, across 1,381 bachelor’s programs.

Median earnings
$33,885
1 year after graduating
Typical debt
$26,000
median federal debt
Pay-to-debt
1.3×
first-year pay ÷ debt
Feeder majors
Security and Loss Prevention ServicesGeospatial IntelligenceBioenergySignal/Geospatial Intelligence
Selective schools offering these majors
Harvard University
MA · 4% admit rate
$85,540/yr
$101,817 grad pay
Northeastern University
MA · 5% admit rate
$84,641/yr
$92,538 grad pay
University of Southern California
CA · 10% admit rate
$90,300/yr
$92,498 grad pay
University of California-Berkeley
CA · 11% admit rate
$45,619/yr
$92,446 grad pay
Boston University
MA · 11% admit rate
$86,285/yr
$83,238 grad pay
Carnegie Mellon University
PA · 12% admit rate
$83,654/yr
$114,862 grad pay

Earnings & debt from the U.S. Dept. of Education College Scorecard; majors mapped to this occupation via the NCES CIP→SOC crosswalk. A grounded ROI snapshot, not a guarantee — pay varies widely by school and specialty.

What this work involves

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