Firefighters
Typically requires Postsecondary nondegree award
What is this page & how do I use it?
This is a research report for one career — the kind an analyst would write for a stock. The rating at the top is the neutral baseline (same for everyone); below it come the cases for and against, how the last official forecast for this career actually aged, and what the education path costs and pays.
How to use it: read the bulls-vs-bears case, then hit Score this career to weigh it against your other options with your own interests factored in.
Analyst take: Decent prospects — +3.4% projected growth, low AI exposure (14/100).
Moat (borrowed from investing — the water that defends a castle): how shielded this career is from AI. Wide = well-defended — few automatable tasks, built on skills few other jobs have.
The small grid is a style box (borrowed from Morningstar’s fund reports): the blue square places this career on reward (top row = high) versus risk (left column = low), against all 730 careers. Low uncertainty means the score leans mostly on measured data (growth, pay) rather than forward-looking bets, so it's comparatively solid.
- +Low AI exposure — resilient (14% of tasks exposed).
- +Strong projected growth — outpaces 60% of careers (+3.4%).
- −Its softest spot: pay is mid-pack ($59,530).
In 2014, the U.S. government projected +5.3% growth for this career by 2024. What actually happened: +5.4%. The forecast held up well — a reminder that every number on this page is an estimate, and this is how the last one aged. Full back-test →
Education & ROI — how to get here
Real outcomes for the college majors that feed this occupation, across 154 bachelor’s programs.
Earnings & debt from the U.S. Dept. of Education College Scorecard; majors mapped to this occupation via the NCES CIP→SOC crosswalk. A grounded ROI snapshot, not a guarantee — pay varies widely by school and specialty.