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Legal

Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators

Typically requires Bachelor's degree

What is this page & how do I use it?

This is a research report for one career — the kind an analyst would write for a stock. The rating at the top is the neutral baseline (same for everyone); below it come the cases for and against, how the last official forecast for this career actually aged, and what the education path costs and pays.

How to use it: read the bulls-vs-bears case, then hit Score this career to weigh it against your other options with your own interests factored in.

CareerStar rating
MixedMedium uncertainty
top 31% of all 730 careers

Analyst take: Strong market prospects — +4.3% projected growth, moderate AI exposure (50/100).

49
/ 100
low riskhigh
top row = high reward

Moat (borrowed from investing — the water that defends a castle): how shielded this career is from AI. Narrow = some shelter, but AI can reach a real share of its tasks.

The small grid is a style box (borrowed from Morningstar’s fund reports): the blue square places this career on reward (top row = high) versus risk (left column = low), against all 730 careers. Medium uncertainty means the score leans partly on forward-looking bets like AI exposure, so treat the exact number loosely.

🐂 Bulls say
  • +Strong projected growth — outpaces 69% of careers (+4.3%).
  • +High pay — above 65% of careers ($67,710).
🐻 Bears say
  • Its softest spot: it carries some AI exposure (50% of tasks).
📜 Reality check — how the last forecast for this career fared

In 2014, the U.S. government projected +9.5% growth for this career by 2024. What actually happened: +8.3%. The forecast held up well — a reminder that every number on this page is an estimate, and this is how the last one aged. Full back-test →

Was this rating fair?
Projected growth
+4.3%
Median pay
$67,710
AI exposure
50/100
share of tasks exposed to AI — not job loss

Education & ROI — how to get here

Real outcomes for the college majors that feed this occupation, across 109 bachelor’s programs.

Median earnings
$37,204
1 year after graduating
Typical debt
$23,875
median federal debt
Pay-to-debt
1.6×
first-year pay ÷ debt
Feeder majors
Dispute ResolutionPeace Studies and Conflict ResolutionLaw
Selective schools offering these majors
Swarthmore College
PA · 7% admit rate
$84,103/yr
$80,257 grad pay
University of California-Berkeley
CA · 11% admit rate
$45,619/yr
$92,446 grad pay
University of Notre Dame
IN · 11% admit rate
$83,271/yr
$99,980 grad pay
Tufts University
MA · 11% admit rate
$88,300/yr
$83,214 grad pay
Haverford College
PA · 12% admit rate
$90,382/yr
$79,966 grad pay
Georgetown University
DC · 13% admit rate
$88,741/yr
$103,494 grad pay

Earnings & debt from the U.S. Dept. of Education College Scorecard; majors mapped to this occupation via the NCES CIP→SOC crosswalk. A grounded ROI snapshot, not a guarantee — pay varies widely by school and specialty.

What this work involves

lawwritingresearchargument