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Installation & repair

Industrial machinery mechanics

Typically requires High school diploma or equivalent

What is this page & how do I use it?

This is a research report for one career — the kind an analyst would write for a stock. The rating at the top is the neutral baseline (same for everyone); below it come the cases for and against, how the last official forecast for this career actually aged, and what the education path costs and pays.

How to use it: read the bulls-vs-bears case, then hit Score this career to weigh it against your other options with your own interests factored in.

CareerStar rating
MixedMedium uncertainty
top 6% of all 730 careers

Analyst take: Strong market prospects — +16.1% projected growth, low AI exposure (27/100).

63
/ 100
low riskhigh
top row = high reward

Moat (borrowed from investing — the water that defends a castle): how shielded this career is from AI. Wide = well-defended — few automatable tasks, built on skills few other jobs have.

The small grid is a style box (borrowed from Morningstar’s fund reports): the blue square places this career on reward (top row = high) versus risk (left column = low), against all 730 careers. Medium uncertainty means the score leans partly on forward-looking bets like AI exposure, so treat the exact number loosely.

🐂 Bulls say
  • +Strong projected growth — outpaces 97% of careers (+16.1%).
  • +Low AI exposure — resilient (27% of tasks exposed).
  • +High pay — above 59% of careers ($63,760).
🐻 Bears say
  • Its softest spot: pay is mid-pack ($63,760).
📜 Reality check — how the last forecast for this career fared

In 2014, the U.S. government projected +18% growth for this career by 2024. What actually happened: +32.3%. Reality beat the forecast — a reminder that every number on this page is an estimate, and this is how the last one aged. Full back-test →

Was this rating fair?
Projected growth
+16.1%
Median pay
$63,760
AI exposure
27/100
share of tasks exposed to AI — not job loss

Education & ROI — how to get here

Real outcomes for the college majors that feed this occupation, across 2 bachelor’s programs.

Median earnings
$61,397
1 year after graduating
Typical debt
$23,250
median federal debt
Pay-to-debt
2.6×
first-year pay ÷ debt
Feeder majors
Heavy/Industrial Equipment Maintenance Technologies/Technicians
Selective schools offering these majors
Lewis-Clark State College
ID · 88% admit rate
$21,925/yr
$46,001 grad pay
Ferris State University
MI · 91% admit rate
$27,048/yr
$54,735 grad pay

Earnings & debt from the U.S. Dept. of Education College Scorecard; majors mapped to this occupation via the NCES CIP→SOC crosswalk. A grounded ROI snapshot, not a guarantee — pay varies widely by school and specialty.

What this work involves

tradesmechanicalhands-onrepair