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Farming & outdoors

Forest and conservation workers

Typically requires High school diploma or equivalent

What is this page & how do I use it?

This is a research report for one career — the kind an analyst would write for a stock. The rating at the top is the neutral baseline (same for everyone); below it come the cases for and against, how the last official forecast for this career actually aged, and what the education path costs and pays.

How to use it: read the bulls-vs-bears case, then hit Score this career to weigh it against your other options with your own interests factored in.

CareerStar rating
RiskyLow uncertainty

Analyst take: Softer prospects — -4.7% projected growth, low AI exposure (4/100).

26
/ 100
low riskhigh
top row = high reward

Moat (borrowed from investing — the water that defends a castle): how shielded this career is from AI. Narrow = some shelter, but AI can reach a real share of its tasks.

The small grid is a style box (borrowed from Morningstar’s fund reports): the blue square places this career on reward (top row = high) versus risk (left column = low), against all 730 careers. Low uncertainty means the score leans mostly on measured data (growth, pay) rather than forward-looking bets, so it's comparatively solid.

🐂 Bulls say
  • +Low AI exposure — resilient (4% of tasks exposed).
🐻 Bears say
  • Projected to shrink (-4.7%).
  • Below-median pay ($43,680).
📜 Reality check — how the last forecast for this career fared

In 2014, the U.S. government projected +4.3% growth for this career by 2024. What actually happened: -22.9%. Reality fell short of the forecast — a reminder that every number on this page is an estimate, and this is how the last one aged. Full back-test →

Was this rating fair?
Projected growth
-4.7%
Median pay
$43,680
AI exposure
4/100
share of tasks exposed to AI — not job loss

Education & ROI — how to get here

Real outcomes for the college majors that feed this occupation, across 104 bachelor’s programs.

Median earnings
$38,479
1 year after graduating
Typical debt
$22,653
median federal debt
Pay-to-debt
1.7×
first-year pay ÷ debt
Feeder majors
ForestryApplied Horticulture/Horticultural Business Services
Selective schools offering these majors
University of California-Berkeley
CA · 11% admit rate
$45,619/yr
$92,446 grad pay
University of Florida
FL · 24% admit rate
$22,523/yr
$71,588 grad pay
California Polytechnic State University-San Luis Obispo
CA · 31% admit rate
$32,265/yr
$90,768 grad pay
Southern University and A & M College
LA · 35% admit rate
$26,341/yr
$43,371 grad pay
University of Georgia
GA · 38% admit rate
$27,993/yr
$68,726 grad pay
Clemson University
SC · 38% admit rate
$35,015/yr
$71,513 grad pay

Earnings & debt from the U.S. Dept. of Education College Scorecard; majors mapped to this occupation via the NCES CIP→SOC crosswalk. A grounded ROI snapshot, not a guarantee — pay varies widely by school and specialty.

What this work involves

hands-onoutdoorsagriculture