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Arts, design & media

Athletes and sports competitors

Typically requires No formal educational credential

What is this page & how do I use it?

This is a research report for one career — the kind an analyst would write for a stock. The rating at the top is the neutral baseline (same for everyone); below it come the cases for and against, how the last official forecast for this career actually aged, and what the education path costs and pays.

How to use it: read the bulls-vs-bears case, then hit Score this career to weigh it against your other options with your own interests factored in.

CareerStar rating
MixedLow uncertainty
top 10% of all 730 careers

Analyst take: Strong market prospects — +5.5% projected growth, low AI exposure (0/100).

60
/ 100
low riskhigh
top row = high reward

Moat (borrowed from investing — the water that defends a castle): how shielded this career is from AI. Wide = well-defended — few automatable tasks, built on skills few other jobs have.

The small grid is a style box (borrowed from Morningstar’s fund reports): the blue square places this career on reward (top row = high) versus risk (left column = low), against all 730 careers. Low uncertainty means the score leans mostly on measured data (growth, pay) rather than forward-looking bets, so it's comparatively solid.

🐂 Bulls say
  • +Low AI exposure — resilient (0% of tasks exposed).
  • +Strong projected growth — outpaces 77% of careers (+5.5%).
  • +High pay — above 56% of careers ($62,360).
🐻 Bears say
  • Its softest spot: pay is mid-pack ($62,360).
📜 Reality check — how the last forecast for this career fared

In 2014, the U.S. government projected +5.8% growth for this career by 2024. What actually happened: +39.4%. Reality beat the forecast — a reminder that every number on this page is an estimate, and this is how the last one aged. Full back-test →

Was this rating fair?
Projected growth
+5.5%
Median pay
$62,360
AI exposure
0/100
share of tasks exposed to AI — not job loss

Education & ROI — how to get here

Real outcomes for the college majors that feed this occupation, across 1,001 bachelor’s programs.

Median earnings
$28,517
1 year after graduating
Typical debt
$25,945
median federal debt
Pay-to-debt
1.1×
first-year pay ÷ debt
Feeder majors
Sports, Kinesiology, and Physical Education/Fitness
Selective schools offering these majors
Rice University
TX · 8% admit rate
$79,788/yr
$89,718 grad pay
University of Southern California
CA · 10% admit rate
$90,300/yr
$92,498 grad pay
Emory University
GA · 11% admit rate
$83,622/yr
$80,137 grad pay
College of the Ozarks
MO · 12% admit rate
$33,734/yr
$41,592 grad pay
Tulane University of Louisiana
LA · 14% admit rate
$87,004/yr
$63,268 grad pay
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
NC · 15% admit rate
$26,055/yr
$72,200 grad pay

Earnings & debt from the U.S. Dept. of Education College Scorecard; majors mapped to this occupation via the NCES CIP→SOC crosswalk. A grounded ROI snapshot, not a guarantee — pay varies widely by school and specialty.

What this work involves

creativedesignartmediawriting