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Architecture & engineering

Mechanical drafters

Typically requires Associate's degree

What is this page & how do I use it?

This is a research report for one career — the kind an analyst would write for a stock. The rating at the top is the neutral baseline (same for everyone); below it come the cases for and against, how the last official forecast for this career actually aged, and what the education path costs and pays.

How to use it: read the bulls-vs-bears case, then hit Score this career to weigh it against your other options with your own interests factored in.

CareerStar rating
RiskyMedium uncertainty

Analyst take: Softer prospects — -6.5% projected growth, moderate AI exposure (50/100).

32
/ 100
low riskhigh
top row = high reward

Moat (borrowed from investing — the water that defends a castle): how shielded this career is from AI. Narrow = some shelter, but AI can reach a real share of its tasks.

The small grid is a style box (borrowed from Morningstar’s fund reports): the blue square places this career on reward (top row = high) versus risk (left column = low), against all 730 careers. Medium uncertainty means the score leans partly on forward-looking bets like AI exposure, so treat the exact number loosely.

🐂 Bulls say
  • +High pay — above 65% of careers ($68,510).
🐻 Bears say
  • Projected to shrink (-6.5%).
📜 Reality check — how the last forecast for this career fared

In 2014, the U.S. government projected -6.8% growth for this career by 2024. What actually happened: -34.7%. Reality fell short of the forecast — a reminder that every number on this page is an estimate, and this is how the last one aged. Full back-test →

Was this rating fair?
Projected growth
-6.5%
Median pay
$68,510
AI exposure
50/100
share of tasks exposed to AI — not job loss

Education & ROI — how to get here

Real outcomes for the college majors that feed this occupation, across 134 bachelor’s programs.

Median earnings
$58,625
1 year after graduating
Typical debt
$27,000
median federal debt
Pay-to-debt
2.2×
first-year pay ÷ debt
Feeder majors
Marine Engineering Technology/TechnicianDrafting/Design Engineering Technologies/Technicians
Selective schools offering these majors
Northeastern University
MA · 5% admit rate
$84,641/yr
$92,538 grad pay
LeTourneau University
TX · 38% admit rate
$51,124/yr
$57,103 grad pay
Trine University-Regional/Non-Traditional Campuses
IN · 40% admit rate
$26,786/yr
$57,165 grad pay
Grambling State University
LA · 45% admit rate
$25,367/yr
$41,109 grad pay
Purdue University-Main Campus
IN · 50% admit rate
$24,591/yr
$72,424 grad pay
North Carolina A & T State University
NC · 50% admit rate
$20,427/yr
$44,440 grad pay

Earnings & debt from the U.S. Dept. of Education College Scorecard; majors mapped to this occupation via the NCES CIP→SOC crosswalk. A grounded ROI snapshot, not a guarantee — pay varies widely by school and specialty.

What this work involves

engineeringdesignmathtechnical