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Management

Legislators

Typically requires Bachelor's degree

What is this page & how do I use it?

This is a research report for one career — the kind an analyst would write for a stock. The rating at the top is the neutral baseline (same for everyone); below it come the cases for and against, how the last official forecast for this career actually aged, and what the education path costs and pays.

How to use it: read the bulls-vs-bears case, then hit Score this career to weigh it against your other options with your own interests factored in.

CareerStar rating
RiskyMedium uncertainty

Analyst take: Softer prospects — +3.4% projected growth, moderate AI exposure (40/100).

37
/ 100
low riskhigh
top row = high reward

Data note: O*NET 29.0 doesn’t cover this SOC code yet, so its skill profile (used for fit, moat, and related careers) is estimated from sibling occupations in the same SOC group — see methodology.

Moat (borrowed from investing — the water that defends a castle): how shielded this career is from AI. Wide = well-defended — few automatable tasks, built on skills few other jobs have.

The small grid is a style box (borrowed from Morningstar’s fund reports): the blue square places this career on reward (top row = high) versus risk (left column = low), against all 730 careers. Medium uncertainty means the score leans partly on forward-looking bets like AI exposure, so treat the exact number loosely.

🐂 Bulls say
  • +Strong projected growth — outpaces 60% of careers (+3.4%).
  • +Low AI exposure — resilient (40% of tasks exposed).
🐻 Bears say
  • Below-median pay ($44,810).
📜 Reality check — how the last forecast for this career fared

In 2014, the U.S. government projected -0.7% growth for this career by 2024. What actually happened: -52.5%. Reality fell short of the forecast — a reminder that every number on this page is an estimate, and this is how the last one aged. Full back-test →

Was this rating fair?
Projected growth
+3.4%
Median pay
$44,810
AI exposure
40/100
share of tasks exposed to AI — not job loss

Education & ROI — how to get here

Real outcomes for the college majors that feed this occupation, across 319 bachelor’s programs.

Median earnings
$39,057
1 year after graduating
Typical debt
$22,292
median federal debt
Pay-to-debt
1.8×
first-year pay ÷ debt
Feeder majors
Transportation and Infrastructure Planning/StudiesPublic Policy Analysis
Selective schools offering these majors
Stanford University
CA · 4% admit rate
$87,833/yr
$124,080 grad pay
Columbia University in the City of New York
NY · 4% admit rate
$89,472/yr
$102,491 grad pay
University of Chicago
IL · 4% admit rate
$90,360/yr
$91,885 grad pay
Princeton University
NJ · 5% admit rate
$84,040/yr
$110,066 grad pay
Brown University
RI · 5% admit rate
$87,648/yr
$93,487 grad pay
University of Pennsylvania
PA · 5% admit rate
$89,028/yr
$111,371 grad pay

Earnings & debt from the U.S. Dept. of Education College Scorecard; majors mapped to this occupation via the NCES CIP→SOC crosswalk. A grounded ROI snapshot, not a guarantee — pay varies widely by school and specialty.

What this work involves

managementleadershipbusinessstrategy